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Doing Monte Carlo Simulation in Minitab Statistical Software. Doing Monte Carlo simulations in Minitab Statistical Software is very easy. This article illustrates how. In finance, there is a fair amount of uncertainty and risk involved with estimating the future value of figures or amounts due to the wide variety of potential.Doing Monte Carlo Simulation in Minitab Statistical Software. Doing Monte Carlo simulations in Minitab Statistical Software is very easy. This article illustrates how to use Minitab for Monte Carlo simulations using both a known engineering formula and a DOE equation.
Paul Sheehy and Eston Martz. Monte Carlo simulation uses repeated random sampling to simulate data for a given mathematical model and evaluate the outcome. With uranium in short supply, there was little room for experimental trial and error. The scientists discovered that as long as they created enough simulated data, they could compute reliable probabilities—and reduce the amount of uranium needed for testing. By using Minitab’s ability to easily create random data, you can use Monte Carlo simulation to. Simulate the range of possible outcomes to aid in decision- making. Forecast financial results or estimate project timelines. Understand the variability in a process or system. Find problems within a process or system. Manage risk by understanding cost/benefit relationships. Steps in the Monte Carlo Approach. Depending on the number of factors involved, simulations can be very complex. But at a basic level, all Monte Carlo simulations have four simple steps. Identify the Transfer Equation. To do a Monte Carlo simulation, you need a quantitative model of the business activity, plan, or process you wish to explore. The mathematical expression of your process is called the “transfer equation.” This may be a known engineering or business formula, or it may be based on a model created from a designed experiment (DOE) or regression analysis. Define the Input Parameters. For each factor in your transfer equation, determine how its data are distributed. Some inputs may follow the normal distribution, while others follow a triangular or uniform distribution. You then need to determine distribution parameters for each input. Create Random Data. To do valid simulation, you must create a very large, random data set for each input—something on the order of 1. These random data points simulate the values that would be seen over a long period for each input. Minitab can easily create random data that follow almost any distribution you are likely to encounter. Simulate and Analyze Process Output. With the simulated data in place, you can use your transfer equation to calculate simulated outcomes. Running a large enough quantity of simulated input data through your model will give you a reliable indication of what the process will output over time, given the anticipated variation in the inputs. You want to estimate the probable performance over thousands of pumps, given natural variation in piston diameter (D), stroke length (L), and strokes per minute (RPM). In this case, you can simply use an established engineering formula that measures pump flow. Flow (in ml) = . The pump’s piston diameter and stroke length are known, but you must calculate the strokes- per- minute (RPM) needed to attain the desired 1. Volume pumped per stroke is given by this equation. Stroke length is normally distributed with a mean of 2. Finally, strokes per minute is normally distributed with a mean of 9. RPM and a standard deviation of 0. RPM. With the randomly generated input data in place, you can set up Minitab’s calculator to calculate the output and store it in the Flow column. The graphical summary also displays Anderson- Darling Normality Test results, descriptive statistics, and confidence intervals for the mean, median, and standard deviation. On average, we are on target, but the smallest value was 8. That’s quite a range. Creating different sets of simulated random data will result in minor variations, but the end result—an unacceptable amount of variation in the flow rate—will be consistent every time. That’s the power of the Monte Carlo method. Electroplating lets manufacturers coat raw materials with a layer of a different metal to achieve desired characteristics. Plating will not adhere to a dirty surface, so the company has a continuous- flow electrocleaning system that connects to an automatic electroplating machine. A conveyer dips each part into a bath which sends voltage through the part, cleaning it. Inadequate cleaning results in a high Root Mean Square Average Roughness value, or RMS, and poor surface finish. Properly cleaned parts have a smooth surface and a low RMS. For your electrocleaning method, the typical engineering limits for Vdc are 3 to 1. Limits for current density are 1. ASF). Response surface DOEs are often used to optimize the response by finding the best settings for a . Minitab makes it easy to analyze the DOE results, reduce the model, and check assumptions using residual plots. Amps per Square Foot (ASF) are normally distributed with a mean of 7. ASF and a standard deviation of 3 ASF. The summary also shows that the transmitted variation of all components results in a standard deviation of 0. Based on a DOE with just 1. Today, using simulated data to develop a reliable parametric picture of a process’s outcome is a vital tool in industries including finance, manufacturing, oil and gas extraction, pharmaceuticals, and many more. Candyman (1. 99. 2) - IMDb. Trivia. Exterior, hallway, and stairway scenes were actually filmed for a few days in the infamous Cabrini- Green housing projects, though the producers had to make a deal with the ruling gang members to put them in the movie as extras to ensure the cast and crew's safety during filming. Even with this arrangement, a sniper put a bullet through the production van on the last day of filming, though no one was injured. 18+ Movies Online Free Candyman: They will say that I have shed innocent blood. What's blood for, if not for shedding? A student writing a thesis on local myths and legends discovers during her investigation that a certain legend may actually be true. 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Performances are anything that people find entertaining. Performers may do acrobatics, animal tricks, balloon twisting, caricatures, clowning, comedy, contortions, escapology, dance, singing, fire skills, flea circus, fortune- telling, juggling, magic, mime, living statue, musical performance, puppeteering, snake charming, storytelling or reciting poetry or prose, street art such as sketching and painting, street theatre, sword swallowing, and ventriloquism. Etymology. The verb to busk, from the word busker, comes from the Spanish root word buscar, with the meaning . Today, the word is still used in Spanish but mostly relegated for female street sex workers, or women seeking to be set up as private mistress of married men. History. For many musicians street performance was the most common means of employment before the advent of recording and personal electronics. Organ grinders were commonly found busking in the old days. Busking is common among some Romani people, who are called . Romantic mention of Romani music, dancers and fortune tellers are found in all forms of song poetry, prose and lore. The Roma brought the word busking to England by way of their travels along the Mediterranean coast to Spain and the Atlantic Ocean and then up north to England and the rest of Europe. All the latest news, reviews, pictures and video on culture, the arts and entertainment. After suffering humiliation by the crew Invincible, street dancer Ash (Hentschel) looks to gather the best dancers from around the world for a rematch. Barbican Theatre in London hosts a diverse programme of theatre, dance and music events from around the world, special offers and online booking. In order to win the Street Dance Championships, a dance crew is forced to work with ballet dancers from the Royal Dance School in exchange for rehearsal space. In medieval France buskers were known by the terms troubadours and jongleurs. In northern France they were known as trouveres. In old German buskers were known as Minnesingers and Spielleute. In obsolete French it evolved to busquer for . In Russia buskers are called skomorokh and their first recorded history appears around the 1. Mariachis, Mexican bands that play a style of music by the same name, frequently busk when they perform while traveling through streets and plazas, as well as in restaurants and bars. But it all started on street corners, and that is still very connected to what we do. It's such a validating musical experience. Busking is a very humble and brave act that takes courage to do well. It's also about the energy of music being alive outside in a city . You can walk right by it right in front of you. Sure, to some people you're just another guy with his hand out, so sometimes busking can be great social barometer. You're able to gauge who you live with on earth. Another Japanese street performance form dating from the Edo period is Nankin Tamasudare, in which the performer creates large figures using a bamboo mat. In the United States, medicine shows proliferated in the 1. They were traveling vendors selling elixirs and potions to improve the health. They would often employ entertainment acts as a way of making the clients feel better. Inside Film Online is a website dedicated to the worldwide industry of film festivals. Browse our film fest directory by geographic location or by month; get the. Presenting Princess Shaw. Feature Film. PBS Premiere: July 17, 2017. Presenting Princess Shaw is the extraordinary story of an aspiring musician, down on her luck. The people would often associate this feeling of well- being with the products sold. After these performances they would . One man bands proliferated in urban areas in the 1. A current one man band plays all their instruments acoustically usually combining a guitar, a harmonica, a drum and a tambourine. They may also include singing. Many still busk but some are booked to play at festivals and other events. Folk music has always been an important part of the busking scene. Cafe, restaurant, bar and pub busking is a mainstay of this art form. Two of the more famous folk singers are Woody Guthrie and Joan Baez. The delta bluesmen were mostly itinerant musicians emanating from the Mississippi Delta region of the USA around the early 1. King is one famous example who came from these roots. The counterculture of the hippies of the 1. Bands and performers would gather at public places and perform for free, passing the hat to make money. The San Francisco Bay Area was at the epicenter of this movement – be- ins were staged at Golden Gate Park and San Jose's Bee Stadium and other venues. Some of the bands that performed in this manner were Janis Joplin with Big Brother and the Holding Company, the Grateful Dead, Jefferson Airplane, Quicksilver Messenger Service, Country Joe and the Fish, Moby Grape and Jimi Hendrix. In Ireland the traditional Wren Boys and in England Morris Dancing can be considered part of the busking tradition. In India and Pakistan's Gujarati region Bhavai is a form of street art where there are plays enacted in the village, the barot or the village singer also is part of the local entertainment scene. In the 2. 00. 0s, some performers have begun . Artists post work or performances on the Internet for people to download or . They usually have a distinct beginning and end. Usually these are done in conjunction with street theater, puppeteering, magicians, comedians, acrobats, jugglers and sometimes musicians. Circle shows can be the most lucrative. Some time the crowds attracted can be huge. A good busker will control the crowd so the patrons do not obstruct foot traffic. A walk by act may turn into a circle show if the act is unusual or very popular. Then, while still red, they walk by the cars to get contributions from drivers or passengers. A variety of disciplines can be used in such format (juggling, break dancing, even magic tricks). Because of the short period of time available to them, stoplight performers must have a very brief, condensed routine. This form is seen more commonly in Central and South America then elsewhere. Collecting money. For walk by acts their instrument case or a special can or box is often used. For circle shows the performer will typically collect money at the end of the show, although some performers will also collect during the show to ensure all audience members have had a chance to show appreciation for their skills. Sometimes a performer will employ a bottler, hat man, or pitch man to collect money from the audience. The term bottler is a British term which originated following the use of the top half of a bottle to collect money. The bottle had a leather flap inserted in the bottle neck and a leather pouch attached. This design allowed coins to be put in the bottle but not allow them to be removed easily without the coins jingling against the glass. The first use of such contrivances was recorded by the famous Punch and Judy troupe of puppeteers in early Victorian times. A good bottler is able to encourage audience members to give money. A bottler usually gets a cut of the money made on the pitch. Prior to the 2. 0th century, it was common for buskers to use a trained monkey as a bottler. That practice has diminished or ceased in many countries due to changes in social attitudes and animal control laws. However some modern buskers use a device known as monkey stick which is a long stick with bottle caps or small cymbals attached to make a noise before a show or prior to making a collection. Pitches. A good pitch can be the key to success as a busker. An act that might make money at one place and time may not work at all in another setting. Popular pitches tend to be public places with large volumes of pedestrian traffic, high visibility, low background noise and as few elements of interference as possible. Good locations may include tourist spots, popular parks, entertainment districts including lots of restaurants, cafes, bars and pubs and theaters, subways and bus stops, outside the entrances to large concerts and sporting events, almost any plaza or town square as well as z. Other places include shopping malls, strip malls, and outside of supermarkets, although permission is usually required from management for these. In her book, Underground Harmonies: Music and Politics in the Subways of New York, Susie J. Tanenbaum examined how the adage . Her sociological studies showed that in areas where buskers regularly perform, crime rates tended to go down, and that those with higher education attainment tended to have a more positive view of buskers than did those of lesser educational attainment. Performers are found at many locations like Mallory Square in Key West, in New Orleans, in New York around Central Park, Washington Square, and the subway systems, in San Francisco, in Washington, D. C. Louis, and many other locations throughout the US. Busking is still quite common in Scotland, Ireland, and England with musicians and other street performers of varying talent levels. Legislation. The Law of the Twelve Tables made it a crime to sing about or make parodies of the government or its officials in public places; the penalty was death. If they did not obey they could be whipped on two consecutive days. Under certain circumstances even private property may be open to buskers, particularly if it is open to the general public and busking does not interfere with its function and management allows it or other forms of free speech behaviors or has a history of doing so. Most jurisdictions have corresponding statutory law. In the UK busking regulation is not universal with most laws (if there are any) being governed local councils. Some venues that do not regulate busking may still ask performers to abide by voluntary rules. Some places require a special permit to use electronically amplified sound and may have limits on the volume of sound produced. It is common law that any disturbing or noisy behaviors may not be conducted after certain hours in the night. These curfew limitations vary from jurisdiction to jurisdiction. It is common law that . The London Underground provides busking permits in tube stations. Most London boroughs do not license busking, but they have optional powers, under the London Local Authorities Act 2. Verizon TV & Movies. Nat Geo Wild Online Tv Live
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She hails a taxi to a police station with the intention of lodging a complaint. Before she can do so, her agent Rashid Bhai (Govind Namdeo) arrives and takes her away from the station. Find Cinemark Movies 14 showtimes and theater information at Fandango. Buy tickets, get box office information, driving directions and more. Through a flashback, we are shown Mahi's relationship with well- known leading actor, Aryan (Arjun Rampal). Aryan is going through divorce proceedings with his wife, while dating Mahi. Mahi is completely in love with Aryan, and during one of their intimate moments, takes a video of them. Aryan's loyalty and priorities are split between his wife and son, his career, and Mahi. When Mahi comes to know about an intimate scene Aryan is shooting for a movie, she barges on to the set and creates a scene, which upsets Aryan. Later Mahi is mocked by Aryan's wife at a party, and they exchange heated words. While driving back from the party with Aryan, Mahi raises the topic of his wife, which results in her being thrown out of the car. Realising her place in Aryan's life, Mahi goes into depression, putting her career in jeopardy. A friend convinced Mahi to leave the past behind her and re- enter the industry with a bang. Heeding her advice, Mahi decides to rejuvenate her career. She employs a Public Relations Offiver, Pallavi (Divya Dutta) who reinvents Mahi's image and puts her back on the front page of every newspaper and magazine. She starts a relationship with an upcoming cricketer, Angad Paul (Randeep Hooda). Their love affair begins to blossom and puts her back into the spotlight. Mahi uses Angad to get role in a big budget film. However, the lead actor manipulates the director to shoot the film in such a way, that the story becomes purely about him and an item girl. Mahi is dissatisfied despite the film being a success, and in a desperate attempt to prove her acting skills, she works in an art film for next the nine months. Angad proposes to Mahi, but she feels that presently they should concentrate on their respective careers. This causes Mahi and Angad's relationship to end. The art film never completes, and Mahi goes into depression, accompanied by heavy drinking and smoking. Since she cannot get a role in big budget productions, she decides to work on a low budget film with newcomers. Also she agrees to make an appearance at the marriage of a wealthy socialite. Mahi meets Aryan at the wedding. Aryan seems to be apologetic to Mahi, and they decide to rekindle their affair. Aryan says that he wants her to do a big budget film with him, however, the director of the film is reluctant to cast Mahi in the role of the lead heroine as she has lost her appeal. Mahi becomes obsessed with the thought of losing the role to another heroine. She asks Pallavi to leak the sex tape of her and Aryan on the news so that she would get back on the spotlight, for the release of her low budget film. As a result of this controversy, the film becomes an instant hit. Mahi's success and happiness is short lived. She starts questioning her career and life choices. She finally decides to leave the industry after her agent Rashid Bhai quits, and Shagufta Reza (Helen), a veteran actress who Mahi admired dearly, dies. In the concluding scenes, Mahi is shown walking alone in a foreign country, and on being asked if she is Mahi Arora, she replies . It is implied that she has moved on with her life and put her heroine days behind her. Hooda was cast by the director to essay the role of a cricketer. Prior to the start of principal photography, actor Arunoday Singh was chosen to play the role, but was later dropped from the film due to unknown reasons. As a way to make his character more believable, Hooda began taking tips and lessons from cricketer Virender Sehwag. Arora: Dubey was cast by the director to essay the role of Kapoor's mother. Along with writer Niranjan Iyengar, the director began developing the story about the life of an actress and later approached UTV Motion Pictures with whom he had worked on several occasions. Bhandarkar, who was keen on using the title Heroine for his film, donated . In an attempt to prepare his protagonist for the film, the director prepared a three- hour documentary on Hollywood actresses Marilyn Monroe, Elizabeth Taylor, Ava Gardner and Vivien Leigh. I am certain it will appeal to audiences across the globe and Aishwarya was a perfect choice for the role. In fact, no one could've played it better. When you watch the film, you will feel that the role was written with someone as talented and stunning as Aishwarya in mind. The film is a daring, shocking, glamorous, scandalous behind- the- scenes account of the reality behind the world of glitz and glamour that our film stars inhabit. For a country obsessed with films and film stars, Heroine will take audiences on a voyeuristic journey to see what really goes on in the lives of India's sweethearts. However, there were several matured contents featuring Kareena Kapoor, which were essential and must be there to retain the motive of the film title, as per the director. The Central Board of Film Certification awarded an 'A' certificate to the trailer but chopped off Kapoor's smoking scenes and lovemaking scenes from the trailer. It was once again delayed so it did not clash with the late Rajesh Khanna's chautha. On 2. 2 July 2. 01. Twitter, and received an amazing response in just 8 hours. After the release of the trailer, a controversy arose. In the film's promo a dialogue of Kareena Kapoor: . If she goes to LA (Los Angeles), she's getting plastic surgery done and, god forbid, if she goes to Dubai, you people make a rate card for her. To avoid hurting sentiments, Director Madhur Bhandarkar has had the offending statement censored in the Dubai version. He clarified, . There are some people who have raised objections. But we did not mean to demean anyone, Dubai is my personal favourite city. One of them being called . Sung by Sunidhi Chauhan. Taran Adarsh of Bollywood Hungama gave the film a rating of 3. Try not to miss it!? Yes, but only because of Kareena Kapoor. From doing the raunchy act in . Heroine is absolutely Kareena's film, not Madhur's. Two for the film and one extra for Bebo. Three cheers for the film! Mercifully, Kareena does demonstrate that she has a feel for the character. But, then, why wouldn't she? After all she plays herself in Heroine. By this point, it feels interminably long and boring. What's not funny is just how stunning Kareena Kapoor looks or gives to her role as Mahi Arora. Kareena Kapoor does a good job and, heck, you even get to see her in a pseudo- lesbian scene along with other steamy scenes. If that's enough to drag you to see Heroine, go ahead. Give it a miss otherwise. Times of India. Hindustantimes. June 2. 01. 2. Archived from the original on 9 June 2. Retrieved 9 June 2. September 2. 01. 2. Retrieved 8 October 2. Box Office Collection. Retrieved 2 May 2. The Indian Express. Retrieved 2. 0 May 2. Bollywood Hungama. Retrieved 2. 0 May 2. Daily News and Analysis. Retrieved 2. 0 May 2. The Times of India. Retrieved 2. 0 May 2. The Times of India. Retrieved 2. 0 May 2. The Times of India. Retrieved 2. 0 May 2. The Times of India. Dnaindia. com. 2. July 2. 01. 2. Retrieved 2. February 2. 01. 3. Bollywood Hungama. Retrieved 2. 0 May 2. Retrieved 2. 0 May 2. The Times of India. Retrieved 2. 0 May 2. Bollywood Hungama. Retrieved 2. 0 May 2. Ramkishore Parcha. September 2. 01. 2^Bollywood. Hungama. News. Network (2. April 2. 01. 0). The Indian Express. Retrieved 1. 0 May 2. Retrieved 2. 0 May 2. Bollywood Hungama. Retrieved 2. 0 May 2. Mumbai Mirror. Archived from the original on 2 July 2. Retrieved 2. 0 May 2. Hindustan Times. Archived from the original on 3. September 2. 01. 1. Retrieved 3. 1 May 2. Bollywood Hungama. Retrieved 2. 7 February 2. April 2. 01. 2. Retrieved 1. April 2. 01. 2. The Daily Telegraph. Retrieved 1. 9 April 2. May 2. 01. 1. Retrieved 1. May 2. 01. 1. UTV Motion Pictures. November 2. 01. 1. Retrieved 1. 3 May 2. Mangalorean. 1. 3 November 2. Archived from the original on 1. October 2. 01. 2. Retrieved 1. 3 May 2. Hindustan Times. 1. November 2. 01. 1. Archived from the original on 1. May 2. 01. 1. Retrieved 1. May 2. 01. 1. 1. 3 November 2. Retrieved 1. 3 May 2. UTV Motion Pictures. November 2. 01. 1. Retrieved 1. 3 May 2. July 2. 01. 2. Retrieved 1. July 2. 01. 2. Bollywood Hungama. July 2. 01. 2. Retrieved 2. July 2. 01. 2. Independent Bollywood. July 2. 01. 2. Archived from the original on 1. November 2. 01. 3. Retrieved 2. 2 July 2. Hindustan Times. 2. July 2. 01. 2. Archived from the original on 2. July 2. 01. 2. Retrieved 2. July 2. 01. 2. 6 August 2. Retrieved 7 August 2. The song garnered positive reviews whereas the video, which has been choreographed by Ganesh Acharya, has received mixed reactions. With a section of the media accusing the song to be mirroring Katrina Kaif's hit item number Chinki Chameli. ID=ENTEN2. 01. 20. MOVIESINDIA& nid=1. Heroine. The. Movie Twitter. August 2. 01. 2. Retrieved 5 August 2. September 2. 01. 2. Retrieved 2. 7 February 2. Retrieved 2. 1 September 2. Retrieved 2. 1 September 2. Archived from the original on 2. September 2. 01. 2. Retrieved 2. 0 September 2. Retrieved 2. 2 September 2. Retrieved 2. 1 September 2. Retrieved 2. 1 September 2. Retrieved 2. 2 September. Boxofficeindia. com. Retrieved 2. 7 February 2. Retrieved 1 October 2. 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